Japanese carriers operating in the Middle East have shifted their operations from “high alert” to a total standstill. On Sunday, Japan’s largest shipping companies announced a formal suspension of operations in the Persian Gulf, citing the rapid military escalation following the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader.

Nippon Yusen K.K, the country’s top shipper, confirmed it has halted all operated vessels from traveling through the Strait of Hormuz. Similarly, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. and Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd ADR have ordered their fleets to remain on standby in safe waters.

The move follows a stark warning from the U.S. military, advising all commercial traffic to maintain a 30-nautical-mile buffer from American assets to avoid being caught in a potential crossfire.

The stakes for Tokyo couldn’t be higher. Japan relies on the Middle East for roughly 90% of its crude oil, and with Iranian state media now describing the Strait of Hormuz as “practically closed,” the primary artery for Japan’s energy security is effectively severed.

Aviation and the ’Doha gap’
The disruption has also affected the airline industry as Japan Airlines (JAL) has already started adjusting its flight schedules, canceling six major rotations between Haneda and Doha through March 3. The move has affected over 1,000 passengers who have been stranded or rerouted.

The aviation sector is providing the first real-time look at how a localized conflict in the Gulf can ripple through global travel hubs in a matter of hours.

For JAL and its competitors, the problem isn’t just the destination; it’s the airspace. Flying around a combat zone adds significant fuel costs and flight time, further straining an industry already dealing with fluctuating energy prices. If the “practical closure” of the Gulf extends into next week, we can expect a much broader wave of cancellations across all major Asian carriers.

The 90% dependency trap
Japan has spent years trying to diversify its energy sources, yet the 90% dependency on Middle Eastern crude remains its greatest economic weakness. Cosmo Energy and other refiners claim there are no “immediate” problems, but that narrative only holds as long as the tankers currently in safe waters can eventually reach their destination.

The real test will come if the U.S. warning expands or if the “standby” orders for ships turn into permanent rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. Such a move would add weeks to delivery times and send a shockwave through Japanese gas stations.

Source: Investing.com