We delivered an exceptionally strong result for the second quarter and consequently recorded the 15th quarter in a row with year-on-year earnings improvements. We are pleased with our performance across the business in first half of 2022, which clearly demonstrates the progress and great work by the entire Maersk team, transforming the company towards becoming a global, integrated logistics company.
The result was driven by strong contract rates in Ocean, rapid profitable growth in Logistics and continued solid performance in Terminals. Volumes in Ocean were softer as congestion continued and the war in Ukraine weighed on consumer confidence, particularly in Europe. However, in Logistics we grew volumes above the market as our Ocean customers continue to buy into our value proposition, resulting in organic revenue growth of 36pct., notching up the 6th quarter in a row of more than 30pct. organic growth.
In Ocean, revenue grew to USD 17.4bn and EBIT increased to USD 8.5bn over the second quarter. The higher freight rates were partly offset by 7.4pct. lower volumes and by higher fuel, handling, and network costs. Although spot rates have softened from their peak earlier in the year, the company continued to sign contracts at rates above previous year levels given strong demand and continuing global supply chain congestion.
During Q2, Maersk maintained its strong momentum in bringing integrated logistics solutions to customers. For the quarter, revenue in Logistics grew 61pct. to USD 3.5bn and EBIT increased to USD 234m mainly due to higher volumes from new customer wins and increased spending from existing customers. Maersk continued to invest in its logistics portfolio and capabilities; in Q2 the acquisitions of logistics specialist, Pilot Freight Services and the global air freight expert, Senator International were completed, and Maersk further strengthened its air freight offering by launching Maersk Air Cargo.
In Terminals, revenue grew to USD 1.1bn and EBIT increased to USD 316m, mainly driven by strong import demand in the United States and above market growth in Asia as well as higher storage income, which was however partly offset by higher costs.
Market situation
Global demand for logistics services continued to moderate across global supply chains in Q2 2022. Freight rates softened marginally over the quarter but remained at a high level historically as supply chain congestion increased across the globe. Global container volume declined by 2.3pct compared to Q2 2021 while global air cargo volumes (CTK) were 9.4pct lower in April/May. Geopolitical uncertainty and higher inflation via higher energy prices continued to weigh on consumer sentiment and growth expectations. Given this background, in 2022 global container demand is now expected to be at the lower end of the -1% to +1% forecasted range.
Guidance for 2022
As announced in a trading update August 2, for the full year 2022 Maersk anticipates an underlying EBITDA of around 37bn, an underlying EBIT of around 31bn and a free cash flow above USD 24bn. This is based on the strong performance in first half of 2022, and a gradual normalisation in Ocean taking place in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Based on the improved guidance, the Board of Directors has decided to increase the current share buyback programme by USD 500m annually from USD 2.5bn to USD 3.0bn for the years 2022-2025.
Financial highlights
Highlights Q2
Revenue
| USD million | 2022 Q2 | 2021 Q2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Ocean
|
17,412
|
11,072
|
|
Logistics & Services
|
3,502
|
2,168
|
|
Terminals
|
1,124
|
969
|
|
Towage & Maritime Services
|
579
|
529
|
|
Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.
|
-967
|
-508
|
|
A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated
|
21,650
|
14,230
|
EBITDA
| USD million | 2022 Q2 | 2021 Q2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Ocean
|
9,598
|
4,400
|
|
Logistics & Services
|
337
|
216
|
|
Terminals
|
400
|
370
|
|
Towage & Maritime Services
|
81
|
95
|
|
Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.
|
-89
|
-17
|
|
A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated
|
10,327
|
5,064
|
EBIT
| USD million | 2022 Q2 | 2021 Q2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Ocean
|
8,526
|
3,580
|
|
Logistics & Services
|
234
|
153
|
|
Terminals
|
316
|
302
|
|
Towage & Maritime Services
|
16
|
64
|
|
Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.
|
-104
|
-15
|
|
A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated
|
8,988
|
4,084
|
CAPEX
| USD million | 2022 Q2 | 2021 Q2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Ocean
|
517
|
313
|
|
Logistics & Services
|
286
|
36
|
|
Terminals
|
105
|
40
|
|
Towage & Maritime Services
|
93
|
56
|
|
Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.
|
7
|
7
|
|
A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated
|
1,008
|
452
|
Guidance 2022 – development
| USD million | New guidance 2 August |
Previous guidance 26 April |
Initial guidance 9 February |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Underlying EBITDA – around
|
37.0
|
30.0
|
24.0
|
|
Underlying EBIT – around
|
31.0
|
24.0
|
19.0
|
|
Free cash flow (FCF) – above
|
24.0
|
19.0
|
15.0
|
Underlying EBITDA is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation adjusted for restructuring and integration costs.
Underlying EBIT is operating profit before interest and taxes adjusted for restructuring and integration costs, net gains/losses from sale of non-current – assets and net impairment losses.
Sensitivity guidance
Financial performance for A.P. Moller – Maersk for 2022 depends on several factors and is subject to uncertainities related to the situation in Russia and Ukraine, COVID-19, bunker fuel prices and freight rates, given the uncertain macroeconomic conditions.
All else being equal, the sensitivities for 2022 for four key assumptions are listed in the table below:
| Factors | Change | Effect on EBIT (midpoint of guidance) Rest of year |
|---|---|---|
|
Container freight rate
|
+/- 100 USD/FFE
|
+/- USD 0.6bn
|
|
Container freight volume
|
+/- 100,000 FFE
|
+/- USD 0.2bn
|
|
Bunker price (net of expected BAF coverage)
|
+/- 100 USD/tonne
|
+/- USD 0.2bn
|
|
Foreign exchange rate (net of hedges)
|
+/- 10% change in USD
|
+/- USD 0.1bn
|
Source: Maersk
